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Most registered voters, 59%, support a federal ban on transgender procedures such as puberty blockers and gender reassignment surgeries for minors, a new national poll found.
The strongest support for a federal ban came from registered Republicans (82%), while the lowest amount of support for it came from registered Democrats (36%). Independents polled offered majority support for a ban, with 56% in favor.
The Center Square Voters’ Voice Poll was conducted by Noble Predictive Insights between Oct.2-4 and surveyed 2,560 registered voters. The margin of error for the aggregate sample was ±2.1%.
According to the poll, although both sexes favored a federal ban on transgender procedures for minors, men were more likely to favor it, with 63% in favor compared to 56% for women. Among the ethnicities polled, “others” favored a ban the most at 63% compared to 61% for Whites. Of Black registered voters polled, 46% favored a ban, while 32% were opposed and 22% were not sure.
Among age demographics, the categories most in favor of a federal ban were 45-54 and 54-65, both of which polled at 61%, while 18-34 were the least in favor, albeit still at a 52% majority of them still supporting banning the procedures for minors.
Although voters with and without college degrees both favored a federal ban by more than 50%, those without degrees favored it more at 61%, while 55% of voters with a college degree supported a ban.
Voters with children supported a ban more than those without, at 61% to 52% respectively.
Geographically, rural voters favored a ban more than suburban or urban voters, at 64% compared to 57% and 58% respectively.
Regionally, the Northeast was least supportive of a federal ban, with 51% in favor. The South was the most supportive at 61%, while the Midwest favored it at 60%. Voters in the West favored a ban by 59%.
Transgender procedures on minors are now banned in 25 states, including states such as Ohio which, according to data from the nonprofit Do No Harm, was one of the top in the nation for procedures and procedures per capita. According to Do No Harm’s data, released last week, at least 13,994 transgender procedures were performed on minors across the U.S. between 2019-2023, The Center Square reported.
Do No Harm is a nonprofit group of physicians and other medical professionals that gets its name from the Hippocratic oath: "First, do no harm." According to its website, Do No Harm is "fighting to curtail the unscientific and individually harmful practice of so-called 'gender affirming care'" for children.
In an email to The Center Square, David Byler with Noble Predictive Insights, wrote that "on many issues surrounding trans rights and students or youth, the GOP has public opinion on their side. There’s a reason that, when you look at GOP ads, they are constantly hammering this and other related issues. And some prominent Democrats are pushing out moderate, rather than left, messages."
He added that "Republicans know that trans issues are a strong social issue for them – and after getting hit hard on abortion so many times since Dobbs, they want to make sure they’re pushing back and finding social issues that work for them."
(The Center Square) – Wisconsin saw a 2.1% increase in its general sales and use tax collections in the first quarter of the new fiscal year in numbers released Thursday.
The state collected more than $1.32 billion after collecting $1.29 billion during the same period last year. The numbers represent collections from July through September.
Overall, the state collected an adjusted amount of $4.15 billion in general purpose revenue during the first quarter, up from $3.97 billion in the first quarter of last fiscal year.
Wisconsin collected $21.3 billion last fiscal year, ending in June, after collecting nearly $21 billion the year before.
The numbers represent a continuation of a trend of slowed growth in sales tax revenue for the state in the post-COVID timeframe.
The state collected $2.73 billion in state sales taxes over the first five months of 2024, a 0.4% increase over the $2.72 billion in the same five months the year before, according to Wisconsin Policy Forum.
“The retail sector contributes the largest amount in sales tax revenues by far,” the group said in July. “In calendar year 2023, Wisconsin reported a total of $7.22 billion in sales tax revenues; $3.47 billion of that – or 48.0% – came from retail. Consequently, even though growth in the retail sector was limited (0.6%), that growth accounts for almost the entirety of sales tax revenue growth in Wisconsin during the first five months of 2024.”
Corporate taxes were up 2.8% year over year for the first quarter of the new fiscal year while excise tax was down 2.7% and individual income tax collections were up an adjusted 6.7%.
(The Center Square) – The Wisconsin Institute for Law & Liberty filed a lawsuit for several parents of students against the Milwaukee Public School District for failing to provide the required 25 school resource officers in its schools.
Wisconsin’s Act 12 requires MPS to have 25 SROs in place by Jan. 1, 2024, during normal school hours.
“I think MPS needs to take their input from the parents and put those safety resource officers in the school,” MPS parent Charlene Abughrin said in a statement. “Otherwise, it’s just reckless and dangerous behavior left unchecked. No discipline, no consequences. What are we teaching our kids?”
The WILL lawsuit cited several times this year when the SRO requirement was publicly discussed at board meetings or by district leadership, which acknowledged the requirement has not been met.
“The actions and inactions of the board and the statements of these board directors all make clear they are aware of their plain duty under state law, but are deliberately not complying with, the requirements of Act 12,” the lawsuit says.
Wisconsin will be sending an estimated $174 million to communities in 2025 for Act 12 personal property aid.
“Failing to provide SROs has left students vulnerable and has forced Milwaukee police officers—through 9-1-1 calls—to pick up the slack when schools need assistance,” WILL Associate Counsel Lauren Greuel said in a statement. “MPS’ failure to follow this law harms the entirety of Milwaukee by not only disregarding the safety of students but also by draining the resources of MPD that are needed elsewhere.”
Washington state is among the 10 states in the nation where gender reassignment procedures performed on minors occur the most, according to data from Do No Harm, while Seattle’s Children’s Hospital was listed among the top hospitals in the nation.
Do No Harm is a nonprofit group of physicians and other medical professionals that gets its name from the Hippocratic oath: "First, do no harm." According to its website, Do No Harm is "fighting to curtail the unscientific and individually harmful practice of so-called 'gender affirming care'" for children.
The group’s database shows that from 2019-2023, in Washington state there were 772 puberty or hormone blockers patients and 330 gender reassignment surgery patients age 17 and younger, making it third in the nation for total state patients for gender reassignment treatment on minors.
According to the 2020 U.S. Census, there were 1.68 million Washington residents under the age of 18, putting the rate of gender reassignment at one per 1,564 minor residents.
Do No Harm defines puberty blockers as “synthetic hormones which are used to postpone puberty in children” and gender reassignment surgery as “a cosmetic medical procedure meant to alter a person’s appearance to look like or mimic the opposite sex; these procedures cannot change a person’s sex. Types of sex reassignment surgeries include procedures such as ‘top surgery,’ ‘bottom surgery,’ and facial feminization/masculinization surgeries.”
According to the nonprofit’s database, the number of patients for both puberty blockers and surgeries increased from 2019 to 2022, but fell dramatically in 2023; however, both remained at levels above 2019.
The most prominent medical location for gender reassignment treatment was Seattle’s Children’s Hospital, which between 2019-2023 had a total of 246 hormone puberty blocker patients and 50 surgery patients. A total of $1.4 million was billed for these services, though this data does not include patients who paid partially or fully out of pocket.
Seattle Children’s Hospital has a gender clinic and describes itself as “the only pediatric academic medical center with fellowship-trained plastic surgeons who provide gender-affirming surgery in our region," though genital surgeries are restricted to those 18 or older.
"For other surgeries, timing depends on many factors, like the patient’s stage of puberty and how surgery fits with the rest of their gender-related healthcare,” the website states. “A typical age is mid-teens or older."
According to its website, they accept new patients ages 9 to 17.75 “at the time of referral who have already started puberty,” while those 17.75 or older and patients who have not yet started puberty are “directed to community resources.” Parental or guardian consent is required for treatments unless the patient is an emancipated minor.
The gender clinic also partners with the hospital’s autism center “to coordinate care for children and teens with autism and related social challenges.”
Earlier this year, doctors from Seattle Children’s Hospital released a paper arguing that “withholding GAC (gender affirming care) is harmful to children and amounts to state-sanctioned medical neglect and emotional abuse.”
Also earlier this year, Seatle Children’s Hospital reached a settlement with Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton after his office sought to obtain medical records from the hospital under the suspicion it was providing gender reassignment services to minors traveling from Texas, where those services are prohibited. As part of the settlement, the hospital withdrew its business license from Texas.
The Family Policy Institute of Washington is a religious organization that "serve as the bridge between culture and government – interfacing with churches, pastors, government leaders, and media to articulate a clear vision for healthy families in our state."
CEO and President Brian Noble told The Center Square that the number of gender reassignment procedures "are actually lower than I thought they would be," but also said "one of the things that I believe that is causing great anxiety within our young people is to remove the foundation of the scientific evidence of who they are. It’s not surprising to me that the Covid lockdown produced the harvest of certain people questioning their gender.”
He added that “this report is about minors. We’re talking about nonadults who can’t even drink a beer or get a tattoo making these decisions.”
Seattle Children's Hospital did not respond to request for comment on Do No Harm's data or its nationwide ranking.
The State Attorney General's Office also did not respond to request for comment on the effects of gender reassignment procedures on youth mental health; the AGO recently filed a lawsuit against TikTok claiming that it is harmful to youth mental health.
(The Center Square) – Wisconsin Republican Senate candidate Eric Hovde said in a 2012 interview that he was in favor of raising the retirement age for Social Security, something that is the focus of a new political ad from incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin.
Hovde clarified his thoughts to the Milwaukee Press Club and on social media this week with a statement saying that his proposal won’t impact those nearing retirement or currently receiving Social Security.
Instead, his proposal applies only to those under the age of 40 because the Congressional Budget Office predicts that Social Security will have negative cash flow by 2033.
“If we don’t act now, Social Security will no longer be able to pay out full benefits,” Hovde wrote.
Hovde added he has never proposed to cut Social Security either, instead proposing to put Social Security in a trust so it cannot be used for other government spending.
“This should have happened from its beginning,” Hovde wrote. “For decades, Congress has treated Social Security like a piggy bank, pulling from it to fund their pet projects. This has to stop.”
Baldwin and Hovde have a scheduled debate at 7 p.m. on Oct. 18 in Madison.
Hovde spent plenty of time Tuesday discussing national debt and ending overspending by the federal government.
He did, however, say that he is for spending federal funds to replace lead pipes, a topic that President Joe Biden was in Milwaukee discussing on Tuesday. Biden announce the Environmental Protection Agency is supplying $2.6 billion to replace lead lines.
“Reality of it is, there’s not a lot of lead pipes anymore because typically a pipe will erode over a particular amount of time and they replace them,” Hovde said. “So I think it’s making … trying to act like it’s a bigger issue.
“The amount of lead pipes in this country are very small, but I think we should get rid of all of them.”
The Wisconsin Policy Forum wrote in 2023 that there are more than 150,000 lead service lines in Wisconsin, affecting at least 92 communities in the state. The group said that 37,000 lead lines were replaced or turned off between 2018 and 2023.
(The Center Square) – Wisconsin will send an estimated $1.56 billion to local governments in shared revenue in 2025.
That total includes $770 million for county and municipal aid, $281 million for supplemental county and municipal aid, nearly $174 million for Act 12 personal property aid, $98 million for exempt computer aid, $97 million for utility aid, nearly $76 million for personal property aid on locally assessed machinery and tools, $58 million in expenditure restraint incentive program aid and $10 million in video service cable provider aid.
The estimates include a $23.6 million increase in county and municipal aid based on last year’s sales tax collections.
“I’m excited to see how the results of our historic shared revenue increases are going to help support communities and families across Wisconsin,” Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers said. “We’re helping make sure our local communities can meet basic and unique needs alike, including investing in fire and emergency services, fixing local roads, expanding affordable housing and transportation, ensuring kids and families have clean and safe water and parks, supporting local public health and libraries—whatever those needs may be.”
The shared funds are mainly general, unrestricted aids that can be used for any activity approved by the local government.
The supplemental county and municipal aid cannot be used for administrative services and must be used for law enforcement, fire protection, emergency medical services, emergency response communications, public works, courts and transportation.
The Act 12 funds start in 2025 and are meant to compensate local governments for manufacturing personal property becoming tax exempt.
Former President Donald Trump holds a slight edge over rival Vice President Kamala Harris when it comes to the issues voters are most concerned about: inflation and illegal immigration.
That's according to the results of The Center Square's Voters' Voice Poll, conducted in conjunction with Noble Predictive Insights, and released Wednesday. The poll is one of only six national tracking polls in the United States.
Harris is gaining ground on Trump on the third top issue: the economy and job, thought Trump still holds the trust advantage among voters.
Likely voters are more concerned about inflation (47%) and illegal immigration (40%) than the economy (32%). Other top issues for voters were abortion rights (26%), crime (22%), climate change (18%), healthcare access (18%), government corruption (16%) and national debt and government spending (14%).
David Byler, of Noble Predictive Insights, said Harris has largely gotten a pass on inflation, an issue voters associated more closely with President Joe Biden.
"What you see now is a much tighter race between Harris and Trump than it ever was between [Trump] and Biden," he said. "Biden was largely blamed for rising prices and for rising inflation."
Despite being the vice president during Biden's term, when inflation spiked to a 40-year high, voters are more optimistic about Harris, Byler said.
"Bottom line was that voters aren't holding Harris quite as responsible for inflation as they held Biden, and this is one of her big points of improvement over Biden as a candidate," he said. "[Harris] is improving on Biden's numbers against Trump on economic issues like inflation and like taxes, and that's a big explainer for why she's got the Democratic base back and why this has gone from Trump winning the popular vote to Harris narrowly leading."
After the U.S. Supreme Court sent the abortion issues back to the states with the Dobbs decision, Republicans lost some interest in the abortion issue, at least compared to other priorities, Byler said.
"So immigration is really one of the key salient social issues with an economic angle to it as well," he said.
Trump has made illegal immigration a top priority for his campaign as he seeks a second term in the White House. He has called Harris' border policies soft and blamed her for an influx of people from other countries, more than 14 million since Biden-Harris took office, The Center Square reported. Trump has also promised tough border policies and mass deportations.
Trump never succeeded on mass deportations during his first term. On both issues, Congress will have its say, which could blunt or block Trump's policies if the former president is re-elected, depending on who controls the U.S. House and Senate.
Illegal immigration has gotten more attention as border states such as Arizona and Texas have sent busloads of migrants to cities around the country. Texas has bused more than 102,000 migrants to sanctuary cities including New York, Chicago and Denver, among others.
Harris opposed many border security measures Trump implemented, including building a border wall. As "border czar" under Biden, and as the administration reversed many of Trump's security measures, Harris has overseen a massive surge in illegal immigration.
Total illegal border crossings surpassed 14 million from the beginning of their term through September, by far a record compared to any other administration, The Center Square reported. Since replacing Biden at the top of the ticket, Harris now says those who illegally cross the border should face "consequences." She now also says she supports building a border wall, a reversal from her past position.
Noble Predictive Insights conducted the poll from Oct 2-4, 2024. The sample included 2,560 respondents comprised of 1,135 Republicans, 1,162 Democrats, and 263 True Independents (Independents who, when asked if they leaned toward one of the major parties, chose neither). Of the full sample of registered voters, 2,290 were qualified as “likely voters.”
The poll weighted each party – Republicans, Democrats, and True Independents – independently. Additional weighting variables include age, region, gender, education, and race/ethnicity.
The margin of error was +/- 1.9% for registered voters and +/-2.1% for likely voters.
Former President Donald Trump said late Wednesday that he would not debate Vice President Kamala Harris amid speculation that the two could have one last faceoff before Election Day on Nov. 5.
Trump's comments come the same day that Fox News invited both candidates to debate at the end of this month, just days before voters head to the polls, though much early voting is already underway.
"This would present an opportunity for each candidate to make his or her closing arguments," Fox News Media President and Executive Editor Jay Wallace and Vice President of Politics Jessica Loker wrote in a letter to both campaigns.
Harris had previously publicly said she wanted to debate Trump on CNN, and Trump said that he had previously attempted to have a Fox News debate with Harris. Now, neither will happen.
“I won the last two debates, one with Crooked Joe, the other with Lyin’ Kamala,” Trump wrote in all capital letters online. “I accepted the Fox-News invitation to debate Kamala on September 4th, but she turned it down.”
The news comes as The Center Square Voters' Voice poll released this week shows that Harris holds a slight lead over Trump nationally, 49% to 47% with likely voters.
However, that same poll shows Trump making inroads with Black and Hispanic voters.
Because the race is so tight, it will likely be decided by a handful of swing states.
According to Real Clear Politics’ polling, Trump is leading in the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, but his narrow leads are within the margin of error for most polls.
Harris has a slight lead in Wisconsin and Nevada, also within the margin of error, making the race a toss-up.
Trump touted his running mate’s debate earlier this month, where U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance, R-Ohio, faced off against Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz.
“J.D. Vance easily won his debate with ... Tim Walz, who called himself a knucklehead!” Trump said. “I am also leading in the polls, with the lead getting bigger by the day - and leading in all swing states. The first thing a prizefighter does when he loses a fight is say that he ‘demands a rematch.’ It is very late in the process, voting has already begun - there will be no rematch! Besides, Kamala stated clearly, yesterday, that she would not do anything different than Joe Biden, so there is nothing to debate.”
The debates have covered a range of issues from immigration to abortion to foreign relations to housing and more.
Notably, energy issues have received less attention in these debates, despite polling showing voters consider costs and energy an important issue.
A Morning Consult/API poll obtained first by The Center Square showed the majority of Americans want to hear more from the candidates on energy issues.
“Americans overwhelmingly want a candidate who will stop the war on American energy as energy costs have soared nearly 30 percent and families have lost more than $4,691 since Harris and Biden took office,” Trump Campaign National Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told The Center Square.
“If Kamala becomes president, prices would spike even higher – she was a proud supporter of the Green New Scam and has promised to ban fracking and kill good paying energy jobs in Pennsylvania and across the heartland,” Leavitt added. “President Trump is the only candidate who will make America energy dominant again, protect our energy jobs, and bring down the cost of living for working families."
While Harris in the past has said she supported banning fracking, since she has become the Democratic presidential nominee, she says she no longer supports such a ban.
Newly released federal inflation data shows that prices rose faster than expected last month, putting more pressure on Americans’ budgets.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday released its Consumer Price Index, a key marker of inflation, which showed that CPI rose 0.2% in September.
While inflation rose more than expected last month, the year-over-year inflation of 2.4% in this latest data is much lower than the major spike in inflation in recent years.
The data comes after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced an interest rate cut last month, a sign that the Fed believes inflation is under control enough to lower rates, and thereby boost the economy.
“Disinflation continues, but anyone who thought the Fed was going to lower rates by another .50 basis points in November is dead wrong,” Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group in Richmond, said in a statement. “When interest rates aren’t high enough to lower growth, they aren’t high enough to stifle inflation completely either. The Fed will lower rates, but at a measured pace from here.”
Much of the increase was driven by an increase in rent costs.
The data also showed a jump in food prices of 0.4%, the biggest increase since January of this year.
“Five of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased over the month,” BLS said. “The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs rose 0.8 percent in September as the index for eggs increased 8.4 percent. The fruits and vegetables index increased 0.9 percent over the month, following a 0.2-percent decline in August. The index for other food at home rose 0.2 percent in September and the index for cereals and bakery products increased 0.3 percent. The dairy and related products index increased 0.1 percent over the month, while the nonalcoholic beverages index was unchanged in September.”
Eating out became 3.9% more expensive in the last year.
Meanwhile, experts say the deadly hurricanes hitting the U.S. right now are impacting the job market.
“Initial jobless claims jumped to 258,000 in the week ending October 5, above the 230,000 consensus forecast or Comerica’s forecast of 250,000,” Bill Adams, Chief Economist for Comerica Bank “This is the first claims report showing the impact of Hurricane Helene, which made landfall on September 26.”
